Nikola Vucevic — Threes
Projection 1.2
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Nikola Vucevic Threes 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 53.5% against 68.1% (an edge of -14.6 points) and is now 56.7% against 69.5% (-12.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 12:50 PM | 53.5% | 68.1% | -14.6 |
| Oct 21, 1:50 PM | 56.7% | 68.1% | -11.4 |
| Oct 21, 12:17 PM | 56.7% | 69.5% | -12.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BetMGM
|
0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 2h ago | ||
 Kalshi
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this just now | ||
 Novig
|
0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 5m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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