Projection 18.3
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (16.5)
Teal bars cleared 16.5 — 8 of 10 (80%).
Jrue Holiday Points Assists 16.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 47.3% against 52.6% (an edge of -5.3 points) and is now 48.0% against 52.2% (-4.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 3:40 AM | 47.3% | 52.6% | -5.3 |
| Oct 21, 4:00 AM | 48.2% | 52.9% | -4.7 |
| Oct 21, 4:10 AM | 47.8% | 52.2% | -4.4 |
| Oct 21, 4:40 AM | 48.1% | 51.9% | -3.8 |
| Oct 21, 3:02 AM | 48.0% | 52.2% | -4.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 16.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 2h ago | ||
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16.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 2h ago | ||
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16.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 2h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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