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ProphetX vs FanDuel — NBA

Which venue is currently the cheaper side of the same NBA props, de-vigged and counted live.

Right now BeatVig prices 466 NBA props at both. ProphetX is the cheaper side 35% of the time (167 of 466), and FanDuel is cheaper on 252. This is the board as it stands at 01 Nov 23:40 ET, not an average over any period — BeatVig measures live prices and keeps no price history.

How they differ

ProphetX is an exchange: traders set the price between themselves and the fee sits outside it. FanDuel is a sportsbook: it posts its own line and keeps its margin inside the two prices. Which of them is cheaper is not a constant and is not something this page asserts: every prop ProphetX and FanDuel both price right now is converted to the implied probability of the same outcome and counted below, so the answer moves with the two boards rather than with the date this page was written.

Where ProphetX is cheaper

Counted above: every prop ProphetX prices lower than FanDuel. Listed below: the ones that also beat a de-vigged fair price, which is the stricter test and the only one worth acting on.

Rebounds o3.5

ProphetXProphetX -11653.7%54¢ vs FanDuelFanDuel -14659.3%59¢ · +5.65pp vs FanDuel

fair 54.4% · Kalshi, multiplicative devig

+0.17pp

+0.67pp was the raw edge before ProphetX's fee, which takes 0.5 percentage points of it

Assists o5.5

ProphetXProphetX -13256.9%57¢ vs FanDuelFanDuel -16261.8%62¢ · +4.94pp vs FanDuel

fair 57.1% · Kalshi, multiplicative devig

-0.27pp

+0.22pp was the raw edge before ProphetX's fee, which takes 0.49 percentage points of it

2 more props behind Premium

Free accounts see a 3-edge sample from below the top of the board. Premium unlocks every prop where ProphetX beats FanDuel, in every sport.

Go Premium

How each one charges

ProphetX
ProphetX is a betting exchange: users post the prices and you take the other side of someone else's bet instead of accepting a desk's number.
ProphetX charges commission on net winnings rather than embedding a margin, so the cost is explicit and only applies when you win.
ProphetX is live in a limited set of states and its liquidity concentrates on the biggest games and the most-traded player markets.
FanDuel
FanDuel is a traditional sportsbook: it sets the line and prices both sides with its margin included rather than matching you against another bettor.
FanDuel's margin is inside the price, so it is charged on every bet regardless of the result.
FanDuel prices a broad US player-prop menu across the major leagues.

In short

Right now ProphetX is the cheaper price on 35% of the 466 NBA props both venues price, measured live off the current boards. Right now the best price gap is Jaylen Wells Rebounds: ProphetX pays +117 against FanDuel's -102.

ProphetX vs FanDuel FAQ

Is ProphetX cheaper than FanDuel?

Across the 466 NBA props priced at both venues right now, ProphetX is the cheaper side on 167 and FanDuel is cheaper on 252; the rest are priced identically at both. Neither venue is cheaper on everything, and this is a live count of the current boards rather than an average over time.

How do you compare a ProphetX price to a FanDuel price?

Every quote from both venues is converted to the implied probability of the same outcome, so a contract price and an American price become the same unit. The cheaper venue is the one implying the lower probability for the side you want.

What does ProphetX charge?

ProphetX charges commission on net winnings rather than embedding a margin, so the cost is explicit and only applies when you win.

What does FanDuel charge?

FanDuel's margin is inside the price, so it is charged on every bet regardless of the result.

How often does this comparison update?

It is computed from the live board every time the page loads, so it reflects the prices both venues are showing at that moment rather than a snapshot taken on an earlier day.

ProphetX vs FanDuel by sport