Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 2 of 10 (20%).
Lucas Spence RBIs 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 25.9% against 55.0% (an edge of -29.1 points) and is now 8.7% against 38.0% (-29.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2:10 AM | 25.9% | 55.0% | -29.1 |
| Sep 24, 2:30 AM | 23.0% | 25.0% | -2 |
| Sep 24, 2:40 AM | 21.2% | 88.0% | -66.8 |
| Sep 24, 2:50 AM | 22.4% | 24.0% | -1.6 |
| Sep 24, 3:00 AM | 22.2% | 26.0% | -3.8 |
| Sep 24, 3:20 AM | 18.8% | 46.9% | -28.1 |
| Sep 24, 3:30 AM | 17.9% | 18.0% | -0.1 |
| Sep 24, 3:40 AM | 18.0% | 19.0% | -1 |
| Sep 24, 3:50 AM | 17.1% | 17.0% | 0.1 |
| Sep 24, 4:00 AM | 10.6% | 24.0% | -13.4 |
| Sep 24, 4:10 AM | 11.9% | 40.0% | -28.1 |
| Sep 24, 4:40 AM | 8.7% | 38.0% | -29.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
0.5 | Fanatics Sportsbook does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 53m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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