Lucas Spence — Hits + Runs + RBIs
How this price has moved at 1.5
Lucas Spence Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 43.3% against 42.0% (an edge of 1.3 points) and is now 45.9% against 56.6% (-10.7 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2:10 AM | 43.3% | 42.0% | 1.3 |
| Sep 24, 2:20 AM | 41.3% | 41.0% | 0.3 |
| Sep 24, 2:30 AM | 39.6% | 42.9% | -3.3 |
| Sep 24, 2:50 AM | 40.8% | 43.1% | -2.3 |
| Sep 24, 3:00 AM | 36.8% | 38.1% | -1.3 |
| Sep 24, 3:10 AM | 33.1% | 38.0% | -4.9 |
| Sep 24, 3:20 AM | 30.4% | 55.1% | -24.7 |
| Sep 24, 3:40 AM | 24.2% | 44.5% | -20.3 |
| Sep 24, 4:00 AM | 14.6% | 43.6% | -29 |
| Sep 24, 4:10 AM | 15.9% | 43.5% | -27.6 |
| Sep 24, 4:20 AM | 18.4% | 30.5% | -12.1 |
| Sep 24, 4:30 AM | 14.6% | 15.0% | -0.4 |
| Sep 24, 4:40 AM | 17.4% | 45.0% | -27.6 |
| Sep 24, 10:00 PM | 46.3% | 55.6% | -9.3 |
| Sep 24, 10:30 PM | 50.0% | 55.8% | -5.8 |
| Sep 24, 10:50 PM | 45.5% | 56.3% | -10.8 |
| Sep 24, 11:50 PM | 47.7% | 50.5% | -2.8 |
| Sep 25, 12:40 AM | 48.4% | 48.1% | 0.3 |
| Sep 25, 1:40 AM | 47.9% | 57.0% | -9.1 |
| Sep 25, 1:50 AM | 46.2% | 56.1% | -9.9 |
| Sep 25, 2:00 AM | 45.9% | 56.6% | -10.7 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BetMGM
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 27m ago | ||
 Fanatics Sportsbook
|
1.5 | Fanatics Sportsbook does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 25m ago | |
| Parlayplay | 1.5 | Parlayplay does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Parlayplay last repriced this 10h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with Premium3 more books behind Premium
Free accounts see 3 books on a prop. Premium shows every book and exchange we price, so you can take the best number.
Go PremiumUpdated 26 minutes ago.