Walbert Urena — Earned Runs
How this price has moved at 2.5
Walbert Urena Earned Runs 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 42.8% against 47.2% (an edge of -4.4 points) and is now 45.4% against 45.7% (-0.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 7:00 AM | 42.8% | 47.2% | -4.4 |
| Sep 23, 7:50 AM | 59.9% | 47.7% | 12.2 |
| Sep 23, 8:00 AM | 44.3% | 49.0% | -4.7 |
| Sep 23, 8:10 AM | 57.7% | 48.1% | 9.6 |
| Sep 23, 12:30 PM | 59.9% | 48.1% | 11.8 |
| Sep 23, 2:10 PM | 42.8% | 48.1% | -5.3 |
| Sep 23, 3:10 PM | 45.3% | 48.1% | -2.8 |
| Sep 23, 10:00 PM | 45.5% | 45.5% | 0 |
| Sep 23, 10:10 PM | 47.2% | 46.5% | 0.7 |
| Sep 23, 10:20 PM | 45.4% | 45.7% | -0.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Polymarket
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
0.5 | Polymarket does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 3h ago | |
 Fanatics Sportsbook
|
1.5 | Fanatics Sportsbook does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 9h ago | |
|
Polymarket
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
1.5 | Polymarket does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 3h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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