Brendan Beck — Pitcher Outs
Projection 14.2
How this price has moved at 14.5
Brendan Beck Pitcher Outs 14.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 55.9% against 62.1% (an edge of -6.2 points) and is now 54.6% against 60.0% (-5.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 5:30 AM | 55.9% | 62.1% | -6.2 |
| Sep 25, 8:00 AM | 54.3% | 61.5% | -7.2 |
| Sep 25, 8:30 AM | 55.1% | 61.5% | -6.4 |
| Sep 25, 8:40 AM | 53.6% | 61.5% | -7.9 |
| Sep 25, 9:10 AM | 53.6% | 60.0% | -6.4 |
| Sep 25, 10:50 AM | 53.4% | 60.0% | -6.6 |
| Sep 25, 12:50 PM | 56.2% | 60.9% | -4.7 |
| Sep 25, 2:50 PM | 54.6% | 60.0% | -5.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BetUS
|
14.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetUS last repriced this 16m ago | ||
 Bovada
|
14.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1h ago | ||
| Courtside | 14.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 2m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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