How this price has moved at 0.5
Deyvison De Los Santos Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 56.3% against 59.0% (an edge of -2.7 points) and is now 49.5% against 54.5% (-5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 8:30 PM | 56.3% | 59.0% | -2.7 |
| Sep 20, 9:00 PM | 41.9% | 69.0% | -27.1 |
| Sep 20, 9:10 PM | 42.8% | 95.0% | -52.2 |
| Sep 20, 9:40 PM | 24.0% | 41.0% | -17 |
| Sep 23, 12:00 AM | 46.6% | 63.5% | -16.9 |
| Sep 23, 12:10 AM | 45.3% | 97.0% | -51.7 |
| Sep 23, 12:20 AM | 32.2% | 37.0% | -4.8 |
| Sep 23, 12:30 AM | 34.3% | 40.5% | -6.2 |
| Sep 23, 12:40 AM | 33.9% | 47.5% | -13.6 |
| Sep 23, 12:50 AM | 36.2% | 68.1% | -31.9 |
| Sep 23, 1:00 AM | 19.1% | 51.0% | -31.9 |
| Sep 23, 1:20 AM | 26.9% | 26.0% | 0.9 |
| Sep 23, 1:30 AM | 26.1% | 40.0% | -13.9 |
| Sep 23, 1:40 AM | 27.6% | 35.6% | -8 |
| Sep 23, 1:50 AM | 25.7% | 53.9% | -28.2 |
| Sep 24, 8:20 AM | 49.0% | 66.7% | -17.7 |
| Sep 24, 8:30 AM | 48.9% | 53.9% | -5 |
| Sep 24, 12:10 PM | 49.2% | 57.3% | -8.1 |
| Sep 24, 12:20 PM | 48.7% | 57.3% | -8.6 |
| Sep 24, 12:30 PM | 47.6% | 55.2% | -7.6 |
| Sep 24, 12:40 PM | 48.5% | 51.9% | -3.4 |
| Sep 24, 1:00 PM | 48.2% | 56.1% | -7.9 |
| Sep 24, 1:10 PM | 48.0% | 53.5% | -5.5 |
| Sep 24, 1:20 PM | 48.6% | 55.2% | -6.6 |
| Sep 24, 1:30 PM | 49.7% | 56.5% | -6.8 |
| Sep 24, 1:40 PM | 49.1% | 55.0% | -5.9 |
| Sep 24, 3:20 PM | 49.5% | 54.5% | -5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
0.5 | Bovada does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 3m ago | |
| Courtside | 0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 23m ago | ||
|
|
0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 24m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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