How this price has moved at 1.5
Charles McAdoo Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 36.5% against 63.0% (an edge of -26.5 points) and is now 40.8% against 46.1% (-5.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 10:50 PM | 36.5% | 63.0% | -26.5 |
| Sep 25, 5:10 AM | 46.9% | 44.1% | 2.8 |
| Sep 25, 6:10 AM | 48.0% | 81.8% | -33.8 |
| Sep 25, 6:50 AM | 47.9% | 81.8% | -33.9 |
| Sep 25, 8:40 AM | 42.5% | 46.1% | -3.6 |
| Sep 25, 10:10 AM | 41.0% | 44.4% | -3.4 |
| Sep 25, 12:40 PM | 40.8% | 46.1% | -5.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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0.5 | DraftKings does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 5h ago | |
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 19m ago | ||
| Parlayplay | 0.5 | Parlayplay does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Parlayplay last repriced this 23m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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