Projection 0.6
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Alan Roden RBIs 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 22.6% against 27.0% (an edge of -4.4 points) and is now 29.0% against 31.0% (-2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 8:10 PM | 22.6% | 27.0% | -4.4 |
| Sep 20, 8:30 PM | 21.2% | 28.0% | -6.8 |
| Sep 20, 8:40 PM | 21.0% | 30.0% | -9 |
| Sep 21, 10:40 PM | 29.4% | 30.0% | -0.6 |
| Sep 21, 11:00 PM | 28.7% | 30.5% | -1.8 |
| Sep 21, 11:10 PM | 28.3% | 30.0% | -1.7 |
| Sep 21, 11:30 PM | 29.4% | 29.9% | -0.5 |
| Sep 21, 11:40 PM | 29.0% | 31.0% | -2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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0.5 | BetMGM does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 19m ago | |
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 1m ago | ||
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0.5 | Hard Rock Bet does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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