Alan Roden — Hits
Projection 1.0
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Alan Roden Hits 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 57.4% against 66.0% (an edge of -8.6 points) and is now 60.0% against 64.0% (-4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 8:10 PM | 57.4% | 66.0% | -8.6 |
| Sep 20, 8:20 PM | 57.2% | 71.0% | -13.8 |
| Sep 21, 10:00 PM | 59.5% | 64.8% | -5.3 |
| Sep 21, 10:10 PM | 58.6% | 63.0% | -4.4 |
| Sep 21, 10:30 PM | 58.4% | 64.5% | -6.1 |
| Sep 21, 10:40 PM | 59.9% | 62.0% | -2.1 |
| Sep 21, 10:50 PM | 61.0% | 60.9% | 0.1 |
| Sep 21, 11:00 PM | 60.0% | 64.0% | -4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fanatics Sportsbook
|
0.5 | Fanatics Sportsbook does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 5m ago | |
 Novig
|
0.5 | Novig does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 55m ago | |
 Polymarket
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
0.5 | Polymarket does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 59m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with Premium4 more books behind Premium
Free accounts see 3 books on a prop. Premium shows every book and exchange we price, so you can take the best number.
Go PremiumUpdated 5 minutes ago.