Blade Tidwell — Pitcher Outs
Projection 15.7
How this price has moved at 15.5
Blade Tidwell Pitcher Outs 15.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 41.7% against 48.1% (an edge of -6.4 points) and is now 41.7% against 45.0% (-3.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 3:30 AM | 41.7% | 48.1% | -6.4 |
| Sep 21, 5:40 AM | 42.5% | 45.0% | -2.5 |
| Sep 21, 5:50 AM | 42.9% | 46.1% | -3.2 |
| Sep 21, 9:30 AM | 42.3% | 45.0% | -2.7 |
| Sep 21, 1:10 PM | 41.7% | 45.0% | -3.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Polymarket
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
13.5 | — — | — Polymarket does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 4h ago |
|
Polymarket
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
14.5 | — — | — Polymarket does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 1h ago |
 Fanatics Sportsbook
|
15.5 | +115 46.5% | -165 62.3% | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 6h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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