Logan Henderson — Earned Runs
How this price has moved at 1.5
Logan Henderson Earned Runs 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 47.9% against 50.0% (an edge of -2.1 points) and is now 51.2% against 52.6% (-1.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 5:20 AM | 47.9% | 50.0% | -2.1 |
| Oct 4, 5:30 AM | 47.8% | 50.0% | -2.2 |
| Oct 4, 7:00 AM | 48.1% | 50.0% | -1.9 |
| Oct 4, 9:00 AM | 62.7% | 53.9% | 8.8 |
| Oct 4, 10:50 AM | 50.9% | 51.9% | -1 |
| Oct 4, 11:20 AM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 4, 11:30 AM | 61.8% | 51.9% | 9.9 |
| Oct 4, 12:40 PM | 51.1% | 55.6% | -4.5 |
| Oct 4, 1:10 PM | 61.8% | 53.1% | 8.7 |
| Oct 4, 4:10 PM | 51.9% | 55.4% | -3.5 |
| Oct 4, 4:50 PM | 52.9% | 53.5% | -0.6 |
| Oct 4, 5:10 PM | 59.4% | 52.6% | 6.8 |
| Oct 4, 5:50 PM | 50.1% | 54.5% | -4.4 |
| Oct 4, 6:00 PM | 50.2% | 54.3% | -4.1 |
| Oct 4, 7:10 PM | 58.3% | 54.2% | 4.1 |
| Oct 4, 7:40 PM | 51.5% | 53.3% | -1.8 |
| Oct 4, 7:50 PM | 49.4% | 51.1% | -1.7 |
| Oct 12, 4:40 AM | 52.9% | 52.8% | 0.1 |
| Oct 12, 7:10 AM | 53.8% | 55.2% | -1.4 |
| Oct 12, 7:30 AM | 54.4% | 54.5% | -0.1 |
| Oct 12, 9:00 AM | 51.9% | 53.5% | -1.6 |
| Oct 12, 11:00 AM | 62.0% | 54.6% | 7.4 |
| Oct 12, 12:00 PM | 50.3% | 51.5% | -1.2 |
| Oct 12, 12:50 PM | 50.3% | 51.5% | -1.2 |
| Oct 12, 1:10 PM | 53.2% | 54.0% | -0.8 |
| Oct 12, 1:30 PM | 51.2% | 52.6% | -1.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BetMGM
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 35m ago | ||
| Courtside | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 7m ago | ||
 DraftKings
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 8m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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