Projection 0.5
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Ali Sanchez Hits 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 46.9% against 53.1% (an edge of -6.2 points) and is now 40.9% against 49.5% (-8.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 3:00 PM | 46.9% | 53.1% | -6.2 |
| Sep 22, 3:20 PM | 48.4% | 52.5% | -4.1 |
| Sep 22, 3:30 PM | 46.9% | 50.0% | -3.1 |
| Sep 22, 3:40 PM | 47.8% | 53.1% | -5.3 |
| Sep 22, 4:10 PM | 46.9% | 51.7% | -4.8 |
| Sep 22, 4:20 PM | 47.3% | 48.1% | -0.8 |
| Sep 22, 5:00 PM | 48.6% | 48.1% | 0.5 |
| Sep 22, 5:10 PM | 46.5% | 51.0% | -4.5 |
| Sep 22, 5:20 PM | 43.7% | 46.1% | -2.4 |
| Sep 22, 5:30 PM | 40.9% | 49.5% | -8.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 16m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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