How this price has moved at 0.5
Ceddanne Rafaela Singles 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 47.2% against 51.2% (an edge of -4 points) and is now 44.8% against 52.4% (-7.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 8:40 PM | 47.2% | 51.2% | -4 |
| Sep 24, 6:50 PM | 44.8% | 52.4% | -7.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 44m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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