How this price has moved at 0.5
Davis Schneider Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 54.4% against 62.1% (an edge of -7.7 points) and is now 52.5% against 58.0% (-5.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 9:40 PM | 54.4% | 62.1% | -7.7 |
| Sep 23, 9:50 PM | 55.0% | 60.0% | -5 |
| Sep 23, 10:00 PM | 56.9% | 61.2% | -4.3 |
| Sep 23, 10:10 PM | 55.7% | 60.0% | -4.3 |
| Sep 23, 10:20 PM | 55.2% | 62.5% | -7.3 |
| Sep 23, 10:40 PM | 56.1% | 66.0% | -9.9 |
| Sep 23, 10:50 PM | 55.1% | 83.0% | -27.9 |
| Sep 24, 12:00 AM | 22.6% | 95.0% | -72.4 |
| Sep 25, 6:50 AM | 56.1% | 81.8% | -25.7 |
| Sep 25, 8:40 AM | 52.5% | 58.0% | -5.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 3h ago | ||
| Courtside | 0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1h ago | ||
|
|
0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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