Projection 0.2
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 2 of 10 (20%).
Lane Thomas Runs Scored 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 27.5% against 37.6% (an edge of -10.1 points) and is now 27.6% against 29.4% (-1.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 10:10 AM | 27.5% | 37.6% | -10.1 |
| Oct 4, 10:20 AM | 26.9% | 29.9% | -3 |
| Oct 4, 7:10 PM | 27.6% | 29.4% | -1.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 39m ago | ||
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | 1xBet last repriced this 23m ago | ||
| Parlayplay | 0.5 | Parlayplay does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Parlayplay last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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