Janson Junk — Pitcher Outs
Projection 14.9
How this price has moved at 14.5
Janson Junk Pitcher Outs 14.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.3% against 51.9% (an edge of -3.6 points) and is now 46.5% against 49.3% (-2.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 8:30 AM | 48.3% | 51.9% | -3.6 |
| Sep 22, 8:40 AM | 47.0% | 50.0% | -3 |
| Sep 22, 8:50 AM | 47.4% | 50.0% | -2.6 |
| Sep 22, 9:50 AM | 46.1% | 73.0% | -26.9 |
| Sep 22, 10:00 AM | 46.0% | 60.5% | -14.5 |
| Sep 22, 10:10 AM | 45.8% | 61.0% | -15.2 |
| Sep 22, 10:20 AM | 46.7% | 73.0% | -26.3 |
| Sep 22, 10:30 AM | 45.2% | 49.0% | -3.8 |
| Sep 22, 1:20 PM | 46.6% | 50.8% | -4.2 |
| Sep 22, 1:50 PM | 46.7% | 50.0% | -3.3 |
| Sep 22, 2:10 PM | 46.2% | 51.9% | -5.7 |
| Sep 22, 3:50 PM | 46.7% | 48.1% | -1.4 |
| Sep 22, 5:10 PM | 46.5% | 49.3% | -2.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet
|
13.5 | 1xBet does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | 1xBet last repriced this 4h ago | |
 Polymarket
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
13.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 8m ago | ||
 Smarkets
|
13.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Smarkets last repriced this 16m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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