Projection 16.5
How this price has moved at 13.5
MacKenzie Gore Pitcher Outs 13.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 53.5% against 55.9% (an edge of -2.4 points) and is now 51.6% against 55.9% (-4.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 12:20 AM | 53.5% | 55.9% | -2.4 |
| Sep 22, 2:20 AM | 51.1% | 55.0% | -3.9 |
| Sep 22, 2:50 AM | 51.9% | 55.0% | -3.1 |
| Sep 22, 3:00 AM | 51.6% | 55.9% | -4.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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13.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 54m ago | ||
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13.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 21m ago | ||
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13.5 | ProphetX does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | ProphetX last repriced this 15m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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