How this price has moved at 3.5
MacKenzie Gore Hits Allowed 3.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 55.8% (an edge of -5.8 points) and is now 51.9% against 53.9% (-2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2:50 AM | 50.0% | 55.8% | -5.8 |
| Sep 22, 4:30 AM | 51.9% | 53.9% | -2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
2.5 | Polymarket does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 1h ago | |
|
|
3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 1h ago | ||
|
|
3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with Premium1 more book behind Premium
Free accounts see 3 books on a prop. Premium shows every book and exchange we price, so you can take the best number.
Go PremiumUpdated about 1 hour ago.