George Kirby — Hits Allowed
How this price has moved at 5.5
George Kirby Hits Allowed 5.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 42.3% against 44.1% (an edge of -1.8 points) and is now 41.7% against 47.5% (-5.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 12:50 PM | 42.3% | 44.1% | -1.8 |
| Sep 23, 1:00 PM | 42.1% | 46.1% | -4 |
| Sep 23, 1:20 PM | 41.7% | 46.7% | -5 |
| Sep 23, 2:00 PM | 43.1% | 48.8% | -5.7 |
| Sep 23, 3:40 PM | 42.8% | 46.1% | -3.3 |
| Sep 23, 4:50 PM | 46.7% | 46.4% | 0.3 |
| Sep 23, 5:00 PM | 41.7% | 47.5% | -5.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Polymarket
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
2.5 | Polymarket does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 14m ago | |
|
Polymarket
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
3.5 | Polymarket does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 53m ago | |
 Bovada
|
4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 49m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with Premium6 more books behind Premium
Free accounts see 3 books on a prop. Premium shows every book and exchange we price, so you can take the best number.
Go PremiumUpdated 14 minutes ago.