Jesus Luzardo — Strikeouts
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)
Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 9 of 10 (90%).
Jesus Luzardo Strikeouts 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 52.0% against 59.6% (an edge of -7.6 points) and is now 52.9% against 56.9% (-4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 7:00 PM | 52.0% | 59.6% | -7.6 |
| Sep 28, 7:10 PM | 51.4% | 58.0% | -6.6 |
| Sep 28, 7:40 PM | 52.4% | 58.2% | -5.8 |
| Sep 28, 8:20 PM | 50.5% | 58.3% | -7.8 |
| Sep 28, 8:40 PM | 52.0% | 58.0% | -6 |
| Sep 28, 9:40 PM | 52.6% | 58.3% | -5.7 |
| Sep 28, 10:10 PM | 51.0% | 56.9% | -5.9 |
| Sep 28, 10:50 PM | 52.9% | 56.9% | -4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 2.5 | Courtside does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 3h ago | |
 Fanatics Sportsbook
|
2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 1m ago | ||
 Kalshi
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this just now |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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