Projection 6.6
+0.43pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+11546.5%47¢
against
FanDuel's
+10249.5%50¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (5.5)
Teal bars cleared 5.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Drew Rasmussen Strikeouts 5.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 46.9% against 89.0% (an edge of -42.1 points) and is now 46.9% against 89.0% (-42.1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 6:30 AM | 46.9% | 89.0% | -42.1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 1h ago | ||
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|
2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 40m ago | ||
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3.5 | Hard Rock Bet does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 40m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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