Drew Rasmussen — Pitcher Outs
Projection 17.9
How this price has moved at 16.5
Drew Rasmussen Pitcher Outs 16.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 55.0% (an edge of -5 points) and is now 49.1% against 54.9% (-5.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 7:50 PM | 50.0% | 55.0% | -5 |
| Sep 22, 8:10 PM | 49.1% | 54.9% | -5.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BetMGM
|
16.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 4m ago | ||
 Bovada
|
16.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 55m ago | ||
 Kalshi
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
16.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 15m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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