How this price has moved at 2.5
Jeffrey Springs Earned Runs 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.1% against 53.7% (an edge of -5.6 points) and is now 49.7% against 52.6% (-2.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 11:40 AM | 48.1% | 53.7% | -5.6 |
| Sep 23, 11:50 AM | 50.9% | 52.5% | -1.6 |
| Sep 23, 10:00 PM | 50.2% | 53.5% | -3.3 |
| Sep 23, 10:10 PM | 48.5% | 53.7% | -5.2 |
| Sep 23, 10:30 PM | 49.7% | 52.6% | -2.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 1h ago | ||
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1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | 1xBet last repriced this 2h ago | ||
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1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 2h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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