Shohei Ohtani — Hits + Runs + RBIs
How this price has moved at 1.5
Shohei Ohtani Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 54.8% against 55.0% (an edge of -0.2 points) and is now 55.0% against 57.3% (-2.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 5:20 AM | 54.8% | 55.0% | -0.2 |
| Sep 23, 5:50 AM | 55.2% | 55.0% | 0.2 |
| Sep 23, 6:10 AM | 54.8% | 55.0% | -0.2 |
| Sep 23, 7:10 AM | 55.2% | 55.0% | 0.2 |
| Sep 23, 6:40 PM | 54.7% | 53.9% | 0.8 |
| Sep 23, 9:10 PM | 55.0% | 57.3% | -2.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kalshi
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
0.5 | Kalshi does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 1h ago | |
 Polymarket
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
0.5 | Polymarket does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 12m ago | |
 Fanatics Sportsbook
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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