How this price has moved at 0.5
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Stolen Bases 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 21.8% against 22.0% (an edge of -0.2 points) and is now 21.2% against 18.0% (3.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 9:20 PM | 21.8% | 22.0% | -0.2 |
| Sep 23, 7:20 PM | 17.3% | 17.0% | 0.3 |
| Sep 23, 8:50 PM | 19.4% | 15.6% | 3.8 |
| Sep 23, 9:50 PM | 18.1% | 18.9% | -0.8 |
| Sep 27, 11:30 AM | 18.5% | 18.0% | 0.5 |
| Sep 27, 1:30 PM | 19.4% | 22.0% | -2.6 |
| Sep 27, 2:30 PM | 20.6% | 16.0% | 4.6 |
| Sep 30, 9:20 AM | 19.9% | 17.0% | 2.9 |
| Sep 30, 9:30 AM | 20.9% | 19.0% | 1.9 |
| Sep 30, 2:00 PM | 21.2% | 18.0% | 3.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 18m ago | ||
| Courtside | 0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 23m ago | ||
|
|
0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 23m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with Premium4 more books behind Premium
Free accounts see 3 books on a prop. Premium shows every book and exchange we price, so you can take the best number.
Go PremiumUpdated 18 minutes ago.