How this price has moved at 4.5
Max Fried Hits Allowed 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 42.0% against 47.2% (an edge of -5.2 points) and is now 42.8% against 47.2% (-4.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 7:40 PM | 42.0% | 47.2% | -5.2 |
| Sep 22, 7:50 PM | 42.2% | 46.7% | -4.5 |
| Sep 22, 8:20 PM | 44.1% | 47.2% | -3.1 |
| Sep 22, 8:30 PM | 42.8% | 46.1% | -3.3 |
| Sep 22, 8:50 PM | 43.9% | 46.8% | -2.9 |
| Sep 22, 9:00 PM | 42.8% | 47.2% | -4.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 59m ago | ||
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4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 1h ago | ||
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4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 23m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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