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Max Fried — Hits Allowed

How this price has moved at 4.5

Max Fried Hits Allowed 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 42.0% against 47.2% (an edge of -5.2 points) and is now 42.8% against 47.2% (-4.4 points).

De-vigged book consensus against the prediction-market price, by time
Time Book consensus, de-vigged Prediction market Edge in percentage points
Sep 22, 7:40 PM 42.0% 47.2% -5.2
Sep 22, 7:50 PM 42.2% 46.7% -4.5
Sep 22, 8:20 PM 44.1% 47.2% -3.1
Sep 22, 8:30 PM 42.8% 46.1% -3.3
Sep 22, 8:50 PM 43.9% 46.8% -2.9
Sep 22, 9:00 PM 42.8% 47.2% -4.4

Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.

Every venue pricing Max Fried Hits Allowed
Venue Line Over Under Vs best Age
BovadaBovada 4.5 +110 47.6% -150 60% Premium to see the gap to the best price Bovada last repriced this 59m ago
DraftKingsDraftKings 4.5 +113 46.9% -150 60% Premium to see the gap to the best price DraftKings last repriced this 1h ago
Fanatics SportsbookFanatics Sportsbook 4.5 +115 46.5% -165 62.3% Premium to see the gap to the best price Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 23m ago

Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.

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Updated 23 minutes ago.