Ethan Pecko — Strikeouts
Projection 3.1
Last 6 games vs the upcoming matchup line (3.5)
Teal bars cleared 3.5 — 4 of 6 (67%).
Ethan Pecko Strikeouts 3.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 58.6% against 67.0% (an edge of -8.4 points) and is now 55.8% against 60.6% (-4.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 7:50 AM | 58.6% | 67.0% | -8.4 |
| Sep 23, 10:00 AM | 59.2% | 61.5% | -2.3 |
| Sep 23, 10:10 AM | 58.6% | 61.5% | -2.9 |
| Sep 23, 10:20 AM | 58.4% | 61.0% | -2.6 |
| Sep 23, 11:50 AM | 57.5% | 60.0% | -2.5 |
| Sep 23, 12:10 PM | 58.4% | 62.1% | -3.7 |
| Sep 23, 12:50 PM | 58.9% | 62.1% | -3.2 |
| Sep 23, 1:30 PM | 58.6% | 60.9% | -2.3 |
| Sep 23, 1:50 PM | 57.4% | 60.0% | -2.6 |
| Sep 23, 2:40 PM | 59.2% | 59.0% | 0.2 |
| Sep 23, 3:30 PM | 58.4% | 61.5% | -3.1 |
| Sep 23, 10:20 PM | 58.7% | 61.5% | -2.8 |
| Sep 23, 11:00 PM | 55.8% | 60.6% | -4.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hard Rock Bet
|
0.5 | Hard Rock Bet does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 2h ago | |
|
Hard Rock Bet
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 1h ago | ||
 Kalshi
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
1.5 | Kalshi does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 2h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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