Projection 2.5
Last 6 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)
Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 2 of 6 (33%).
Eli Raridon Receptions 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 39.2% against 33.5% (an edge of 5.7 points) and is now 48.5% against 48.5% (0 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 12:10 AM | 39.2% | 33.5% | 5.7 |
| Oct 30, 6:00 AM | 39.7% | 34.0% | 5.7 |
| Oct 30, 10:00 AM | 39.6% | 32.5% | 7.1 |
| Oct 30, 11:30 AM | 40.4% | 34.0% | 6.4 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 38.0% | 34.5% | 3.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 39.5% | 42.9% | -3.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 PM | 38.9% | 46.9% | -8 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 PM | 43.6% | 46.9% | -3.3 |
| Oct 30, 4:30 PM | 44.8% | 46.9% | -2.1 |
| Oct 30, 5:00 PM | 42.2% | 48.5% | -6.3 |
| Oct 30, 5:10 PM | 40.8% | 46.6% | -5.8 |
| Oct 30, 5:30 PM | 40.6% | 48.1% | -7.5 |
| Oct 30, 6:20 PM | 44.2% | 48.0% | -3.8 |
| Oct 30, 7:20 PM | 49.3% | 49.0% | 0.3 |
| Oct 30, 8:30 PM | 47.2% | 46.9% | 0.3 |
| Oct 31, 12:00 AM | 45.5% | 44.1% | 1.4 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 AM | 43.3% | 46.1% | -2.8 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 AM | 44.2% | 45.0% | -0.8 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 AM | 45.1% | 46.1% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 6:00 AM | 45.5% | 46.1% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 PM | 46.2% | 46.9% | -0.7 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 PM | 48.3% | 46.5% | 1.8 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 PM | 46.9% | 46.9% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:00 PM | 47.6% | 47.4% | 0.2 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 PM | 47.6% | 46.9% | 0.7 |
| Oct 31, 5:00 PM | 47.9% | 48.5% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 5:10 PM | 46.4% | 48.2% | -1.8 |
| Oct 31, 5:20 PM | 50.2% | 52.8% | -2.6 |
| Oct 31, 5:30 PM | 49.3% | 48.7% | 0.6 |
| Oct 31, 5:40 PM | 47.8% | 48.7% | -0.9 |
| Oct 31, 5:50 PM | 48.0% | 49.4% | -1.4 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 PM | 48.0% | 48.1% | -0.1 |
| Oct 31, 6:20 PM | 48.5% | 49.0% | -0.5 |
| Oct 31, 6:40 PM | 46.7% | 48.8% | -2.1 |
| Oct 31, 2:48 PM | 48.5% | 48.5% | 0 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing eli raridon receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 1h ago | ||
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2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 41m ago | ||
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1.5 | Hard Rock Bet does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 43m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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