Will Kacmarek — Receiving Yards
Projection 0.3
+0.47pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+30025%25¢
against
Hard Rock Bet's
+20033.3%33¢
.
Last 4 games vs the upcoming matchup line (9.5)
Teal bars cleared 9.5 — 1 of 4 (25%).
Will Kacmarek Receiving Yards 9.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 33.1% against 36.8% (an edge of -3.7 points) and is now 30.8% against 25.0% (5.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 3:50 PM | 33.1% | 36.8% | -3.7 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 33.1% | 36.8% | -3.7 |
| Oct 31, 8:30 AM | 30.2% | 27.0% | 3.2 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 30.8% | 30.6% | 0.2 |
| Nov 1, 9:50 AM | 28.7% | 26.0% | 2.7 |
| Nov 1, 10:50 AM | 29.7% | 27.0% | 2.7 |
| Nov 1, 11:00 AM | 30.1% | 27.0% | 3.1 |
| Nov 1, 1:30 PM | 29.7% | 61.5% | -31.8 |
| Nov 1, 1:40 PM | 29.0% | 27.0% | 2 |
| Nov 1, 3:43 PM | 30.8% | 25.0% | 5.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing will kacmarek receiving yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Hard Rock Bet
|
9.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 3h ago | ||
|
Kalshi
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
9.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 5h ago | ||
| Bet99 | 0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 46m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with Premium45 more books behind Premium
Free accounts see 3 books on a prop. Premium shows every book and exchange we price, so you can take the best number.
Go PremiumUpdated about 1 hour ago.