Projection 4.9
Last 7 games vs the upcoming matchup line (4.5)
Teal bars cleared 4.5 — 2 of 7 (29%).
Makai Lemon Receptions 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 56.9% (an edge of -6.9 points) and is now 53.2% against 52.6% (0.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 50.0% | 56.9% | -6.9 |
| Oct 30, 5:00 PM | 50.0% | 52.0% | -2 |
| Oct 30, 5:10 PM | 50.0% | 55.8% | -5.8 |
| Oct 30, 5:50 PM | 48.0% | 55.8% | -7.8 |
| Oct 30, 8:20 PM | 49.3% | 51.9% | -2.6 |
| Oct 30, 9:50 PM | 50.0% | 53.3% | -3.3 |
| Oct 30, 10:20 PM | 54.4% | 51.9% | 2.5 |
| Oct 30, 10:30 PM | 52.8% | 51.9% | 0.9 |
| Oct 30, 11:00 PM | 53.5% | 51.9% | 1.6 |
| Oct 30, 11:20 PM | 52.0% | 52.2% | -0.2 |
| Oct 30, 11:30 PM | 48.7% | 51.9% | -3.2 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 PM | 51.2% | 54.0% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 PM | 53.5% | 55.2% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 AM | 52.8% | 53.6% | -0.8 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 AM | 52.8% | 54.3% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 2:40 AM | 52.0% | 53.1% | -1.1 |
| Oct 31, 5:10 AM | 52.0% | 53.7% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 AM | 55.7% | 53.9% | 1.8 |
| Oct 31, 7:20 AM | 52.0% | 54.3% | -2.3 |
| Oct 31, 7:40 AM | 50.0% | 54.3% | -4.3 |
| Oct 31, 7:50 AM | 53.2% | 53.7% | -0.5 |
| Oct 31, 8:10 AM | 54.1% | 53.7% | 0.4 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 PM | 52.0% | 53.5% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 PM | 50.0% | 52.7% | -2.7 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 PM | 52.4% | 54.1% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 PM | 50.0% | 54.1% | -4.1 |
| Oct 31, 4:30 PM | 51.0% | 54.3% | -3.3 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM | 52.8% | 53.1% | -0.3 |
| Oct 31, 5:30 PM | 53.1% | 51.9% | 1.2 |
| Oct 31, 5:50 PM | 52.6% | 54.8% | -2.2 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 PM | 52.5% | 53.9% | -1.4 |
| Oct 31, 3:09 PM | 53.2% | 52.6% | 0.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing makai lemon receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 1h ago | ||
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4.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 23h ago | |
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4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 59m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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