Projection 0.1
Last 7 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 1 of 7 (14%).
Makai Lemon Anytime Touchdown 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 22.9% against 25.6% (an edge of -2.7 points) and is now 22.9% against 22.3% (0.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 10:20 PM | 22.9% | 25.6% | -2.7 |
| Oct 29, 9:00 AM | 22.9% | 22.0% | 0.9 |
| Oct 29, 12:30 PM | 21.9% | 21.0% | 0.9 |
| Oct 29, 1:30 PM | 22.0% | 26.0% | -4 |
| Oct 30, 8:30 AM | 21.6% | 22.0% | -0.4 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 21.9% | 22.4% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 PM | 21.5% | 22.5% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 21.5% | 22.0% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:30 PM | 23.0% | 23.0% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 22.6% | 21.5% | 1.1 |
| Oct 31, 4:40 PM | 22.9% | 22.5% | 0.4 |
| Oct 31, 2:50 PM | 22.9% | 22.3% | 0.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing makai lemon anytime touchdown are still live.
| Venue | Yes | No | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | Bet99 does not price the no | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 44m ago | |
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BetRivers does not price the no | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 20h ago | |
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Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 15m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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