Caleb Douglas — Receptions
Projection 2.9
Last 3 games vs the upcoming matchup line (3.5)
Teal bars cleared 3.5 — 1 of 3 (33%).
Caleb Douglas Receptions 3.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.0% against 51.0% (an edge of -3 points) and is now 39.9% against 39.1% (0.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 3:30 AM | 48.0% | 51.0% | -3 |
| Oct 28, 4:00 AM | 47.7% | 50.0% | -2.3 |
| Oct 28, 9:10 AM | 44.9% | 46.9% | -2 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 AM | 45.8% | 48.1% | -2.3 |
| Oct 28, 12:00 PM | 47.1% | 47.6% | -0.5 |
| Oct 28, 2:20 PM | 43.2% | 44.6% | -1.4 |
| Oct 28, 2:30 PM | 43.1% | 43.8% | -0.7 |
| Oct 28, 2:40 PM | 42.5% | 42.6% | -0.1 |
| Oct 28, 3:00 PM | 42.0% | 44.6% | -2.6 |
| Oct 28, 3:20 PM | 41.2% | 44.1% | -2.9 |
| Oct 29, 1:00 AM | 41.5% | 44.1% | -2.6 |
| Oct 29, 1:10 AM | 41.5% | 44.8% | -3.3 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 41.5% | 42.7% | -1.2 |
| Oct 29, 4:20 AM | 42.5% | 42.9% | -0.4 |
| Oct 29, 1:20 PM | 40.8% | 44.8% | -4 |
| Oct 29, 1:40 PM | 40.8% | 44.8% | -4 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 41.3% | 44.5% | -3.2 |
| Oct 29, 4:40 PM | 41.3% | 41.0% | 0.3 |
| Oct 29, 7:10 PM | 41.1% | 40.0% | 1.1 |
| Oct 29, 8:30 PM | 41.0% | 40.0% | 1 |
| Oct 29, 8:40 PM | 41.9% | 42.6% | -0.7 |
| Oct 29, 8:50 PM | 40.5% | 41.0% | -0.5 |
| Oct 29, 9:30 PM | 41.3% | 40.7% | 0.6 |
| Oct 29, 9:40 PM | 41.6% | 40.3% | 1.3 |
| Oct 29, 10:10 PM | 41.2% | 40.3% | 0.9 |
| Oct 29, 10:30 PM | 40.9% | 40.0% | 0.9 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 40.2% | 40.0% | 0.2 |
| Oct 30, 6:00 AM | 41.3% | 39.7% | 1.6 |
| Oct 30, 7:10 AM | 38.7% | 40.0% | -1.3 |
| Oct 30, 7:20 AM | 38.7% | 40.0% | -1.3 |
| Oct 30, 9:00 AM | 39.9% | 40.0% | -0.1 |
| Oct 30, 9:10 AM | 40.6% | 40.0% | 0.6 |
| Oct 30, 9:20 AM | 37.8% | 39.1% | -1.3 |
| Oct 30, 9:50 AM | 38.7% | 39.1% | -0.4 |
| Oct 30, 10:00 AM | 39.0% | 40.0% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 11:10 AM | 39.8% | 40.0% | -0.2 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 AM | 37.8% | 39.1% | -1.3 |
| Oct 30, 1:50 PM | 39.4% | 42.0% | -2.6 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 37.8% | 39.6% | -1.8 |
| Oct 30, 2:30 PM | 38.7% | 39.6% | -0.9 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 PM | 39.5% | 39.7% | -0.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 40.0% | 40.0% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 4:30 PM | 37.1% | 39.6% | -2.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 38.7% | 39.4% | -0.7 |
| Oct 30, 6:50 PM | 40.6% | 40.3% | 0.3 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 30.6% | 39.4% | -8.8 |
| Oct 31, 6:00 AM | 30.7% | 38.0% | -7.3 |
| Oct 31, 8:30 AM | 38.9% | 39.7% | -0.8 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 PM | 36.3% | 39.6% | -3.3 |
| Oct 31, 1:16 PM | 39.9% | 39.1% | 0.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing caleb douglas receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 3.5 | Bet99 does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 2d ago | |
 Bovada
|
3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago | ||
| Courtside | 3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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