KC Concepcion — Receptions
Projection 4.8
Last 7 games vs the upcoming matchup line (4.5)
Teal bars cleared 4.5 — 3 of 7 (43%).
KC Concepcion Receptions 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.0% against 53.9% (an edge of -4.9 points) and is now 52.6% against 53.1% (-0.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 49.0% | 53.9% | -4.9 |
| Oct 28, 11:20 PM | 41.5% | 53.9% | -12.4 |
| Oct 29, 2:10 AM | 41.5% | 53.1% | -11.6 |
| Oct 29, 3:20 AM | 42.2% | 57.1% | -14.9 |
| Oct 29, 3:30 AM | 41.5% | 50.0% | -8.5 |
| Oct 29, 4:10 AM | 50.8% | 55.9% | -5.1 |
| Oct 29, 4:20 AM | 51.0% | 55.0% | -4 |
| Oct 29, 5:40 AM | 47.3% | 55.2% | -7.9 |
| Oct 29, 5:50 AM | 50.1% | 55.4% | -5.3 |
| Oct 29, 6:00 AM | 49.7% | 55.2% | -5.5 |
| Oct 29, 10:50 AM | 50.0% | 55.2% | -5.2 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 51.9% | 55.0% | -3.1 |
| Oct 29, 4:40 PM | 50.8% | 53.9% | -3.1 |
| Oct 29, 5:30 PM | 42.5% | 51.9% | -9.4 |
| Oct 29, 5:40 PM | 49.4% | 52.3% | -2.9 |
| Oct 29, 8:00 PM | 50.5% | 53.5% | -3 |
| Oct 29, 8:30 PM | 50.8% | 51.0% | -0.2 |
| Oct 29, 9:20 PM | 51.1% | 51.9% | -0.8 |
| Oct 29, 11:10 PM | 46.5% | 53.9% | -7.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 51.0% | 51.0% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 7:00 AM | 51.4% | 51.9% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 11:10 AM | 51.0% | 52.3% | -1.3 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 AM | 51.7% | 52.6% | -0.9 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 AM | 53.5% | 51.9% | 1.6 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 51.2% | 53.9% | -2.7 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 51.0% | 52.9% | -1.9 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 52.2% | 51.9% | 0.3 |
| Oct 30, 6:50 PM | 52.0% | 51.0% | 1 |
| Oct 30, 10:50 PM | 52.0% | 51.0% | 1 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM | 52.4% | 53.1% | -0.7 |
| Oct 31, 6:20 PM | 52.6% | 53.1% | -0.5 |
| Oct 31, 2:56 PM | 52.6% | 53.1% | -0.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing kc concepcion receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 4.5 | Bet99 does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 2h ago | |
 BetMGM
|
4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 20h ago | ||
 BetRivers
|
4.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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