Projection 29.8
+1.1pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+10947.8%48¢
against
Pinnacle's
-10751.7%52¢
.
Last 7 games vs the upcoming matchup line (30.5)
Teal bars cleared 30.5 — 3 of 7 (43%).
Mike Washington Rushing Yards 30.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 51.0% against 53.9% (an edge of -2.9 points) and is now 51.0% against 53.1% (-2.1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 12:50 PM | 51.0% | 53.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 1:20 PM | 50.0% | 56.9% | -6.9 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 51.0% | 56.9% | -5.9 |
| Oct 30, 3:10 PM | 51.0% | 54.3% | -3.3 |
| Oct 30, 9:10 PM | 52.0% | 55.6% | -3.6 |
| Oct 30, 9:50 PM | 53.5% | 54.5% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 10:50 PM | 51.1% | 55.6% | -4.5 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 50.0% | 55.6% | -5.6 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 PM | 53.5% | 53.1% | 0.4 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 51.0% | 53.1% | -2.1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing mike washington rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
30.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 4h ago | ||
| Courtside | 30.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 4h ago | ||
|
|
30.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 2h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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