Denzel Boston — Receptions
Projection 3.1
+0.25pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+56715%15¢
against
Rebet's
+62513.8%14¢
.
Last 7 games vs the upcoming matchup line (3.5)
Teal bars cleared 3.5 — 2 of 7 (29%).
Denzel Boston Receptions 3.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 40.4% against 53.1% (an edge of -12.7 points) and is now 43.5% against 42.9% (0.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 7:50 PM | 40.4% | 53.1% | -12.7 |
| Oct 28, 8:40 PM | 49.6% | 54.3% | -4.7 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 49.0% | 54.8% | -5.8 |
| Oct 29, 3:20 AM | 45.1% | 51.1% | -6 |
| Oct 29, 3:30 AM | 42.5% | 51.2% | -8.7 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 42.8% | 49.5% | -6.7 |
| Oct 29, 4:10 AM | 44.2% | 49.0% | -4.8 |
| Oct 29, 4:20 AM | 46.1% | 49.0% | -2.9 |
| Oct 29, 5:40 AM | 46.9% | 48.8% | -1.9 |
| Oct 29, 5:50 AM | 46.5% | 49.2% | -2.7 |
| Oct 29, 6:00 AM | 45.9% | 49.3% | -3.4 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 AM | 45.9% | 48.0% | -2.1 |
| Oct 29, 10:30 AM | 47.6% | 47.8% | -0.2 |
| Oct 29, 10:50 AM | 46.7% | 49.4% | -2.7 |
| Oct 29, 3:10 PM | 47.2% | 49.0% | -1.8 |
| Oct 29, 3:20 PM | 47.2% | 49.0% | -1.8 |
| Oct 29, 3:30 PM | 47.6% | 49.0% | -1.4 |
| Oct 29, 5:10 PM | 49.3% | 46.7% | 2.6 |
| Oct 29, 5:30 PM | 45.9% | 46.9% | -1 |
| Oct 29, 5:40 PM | 49.6% | 46.5% | 3.1 |
| Oct 29, 9:20 PM | 47.6% | 45.8% | 1.8 |
| Oct 29, 11:40 PM | 50.1% | 46.1% | 4 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 47.9% | 46.9% | 1 |
| Oct 30, 7:10 AM | 46.9% | 46.1% | 0.8 |
| Oct 30, 10:00 AM | 46.5% | 45.5% | 1 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 AM | 48.6% | 47.5% | 1.1 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 48.0% | 46.9% | 1.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 45.6% | 46.7% | -1.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 47.1% | 46.9% | 0.2 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 PM | 46.1% | 46.1% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 AM | 46.5% | 46.1% | 0.4 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 AM | 45.8% | 46.1% | -0.3 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 PM | 46.1% | 44.2% | 1.9 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 PM | 41.5% | 44.4% | -2.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 PM | 44.6% | 42.9% | 1.7 |
| Oct 31, 4:20 PM | 45.5% | 42.9% | 2.6 |
| Oct 31, 4:30 PM | 47.8% | 42.8% | 5 |
| Oct 31, 4:40 PM | 44.2% | 42.0% | 2.2 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM | 45.5% | 43.9% | 1.6 |
| Oct 31, 2:28 PM | 43.5% | 42.9% | 0.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing denzel boston receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 3.5 | Bet99 does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 12h ago | |
 BetMGM
|
3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 2h ago | ||
 BetRivers
|
3.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 17h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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