Projection 0.1
Last 4 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 2 of 4 (50%).
Josh Cameron Anytime Touchdown 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 20.4% against 19.0% (an edge of 1.4 points) and is now 26.5% against 29.0% (-2.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 20.4% | 19.0% | 1.4 |
| Oct 28, 10:20 PM | 19.4% | 19.4% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 7:50 PM | 17.9% | 24.0% | -6.1 |
| Oct 29, 8:10 PM | 17.8% | 20.8% | -3 |
| Oct 29, 8:40 PM | 18.5% | 22.8% | -4.3 |
| Oct 29, 8:50 PM | 17.9% | 21.7% | -3.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 17.8% | 18.5% | -0.7 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 AM | 17.9% | 19.0% | -1.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 AM | 17.3% | 19.0% | -1.7 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 19.4% | 20.0% | -0.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 PM | 17.3% | 20.0% | -2.7 |
| Oct 30, 5:00 PM | 17.9% | 19.8% | -1.9 |
| Oct 30, 8:40 PM | 27.1% | 26.0% | 1.1 |
| Oct 30, 9:10 PM | 28.0% | 27.0% | 1 |
| Oct 30, 10:20 PM | 19.1% | 27.0% | -7.9 |
| Oct 31, 2:10 AM | 28.5% | 27.0% | 1.5 |
| Oct 31, 4:21 PM | 26.5% | 29.0% | -2.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing josh cameron anytime touchdown are still live.
| Venue | Yes | No | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 2h ago | ||
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BetMGM does not price the no | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 55m ago | |
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Novig does not price the no | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 2h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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