Emmett Johnson — Rushing Yards
Projection 8.5
+0.29pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+45618%18¢
against
Rebet's
+59614.4%14¢
.
Last 6 games vs the upcoming matchup line (7.5)
Teal bars cleared 7.5 — 3 of 6 (50%).
Emmett Johnson Rushing Yards 7.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 54.0% (an edge of -4 points) and is now 50.0% against 51.5% (-1.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 50.0% | 54.0% | -4 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 AM | 50.5% | 52.3% | -1.8 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 49.5% | 53.0% | -3.5 |
| Oct 30, 1:50 PM | 50.0% | 52.2% | -2.2 |
| Oct 30, 3:30 PM | 49.6% | 52.4% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 50.0% | 51.2% | -1.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 49.4% | 53.1% | -3.7 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 48.8% | 51.5% | -2.7 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 AM | 49.0% | 51.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 AM | 50.1% | 52.1% | -2 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 AM | 49.9% | 53.1% | -3.2 |
| Oct 31, 2:40 AM | 50.1% | 51.7% | -1.6 |
| Oct 31, 2:50 AM | 50.9% | 52.2% | -1.3 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 PM | 48.6% | 51.0% | -2.4 |
| Oct 31, 5:49 PM | 50.0% | 51.5% | -1.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing emmett johnson rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 6h ago | ||
 Bovada
|
7.5 | Bovada does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 20h ago | |
 DraftKings
|
7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 20h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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