Projection 6.8
+0.54pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+37621%21¢
against
Rebet's
+38920.4%20¢
.
Last 6 games vs the upcoming matchup line (7.5)
Teal bars cleared 7.5 — 5 of 6 (83%).
Emmett Johnson Receiving Yards 7.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.4% against 52.8% (an edge of -3.4 points) and is now 49.1% against 52.2% (-3.1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 1:10 PM | 49.4% | 52.8% | -3.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 49.8% | 52.2% | -2.4 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 AM | 49.1% | 53.1% | -4 |
| Oct 31, 5:00 PM | 48.6% | 51.7% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 50.0% | 52.2% | -2.2 |
| Oct 31, 6:42 PM | 49.1% | 52.2% | -3.1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing emmett johnson receiving yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 8h ago | ||
| Courtside | 7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 8h ago | ||
|
|
7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 8h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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