Projection 4.1
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (4.5)
Teal bars cleared 4.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Colston Loveland Receptions 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.9% against 47.4% (an edge of 2.5 points) and is now 43.9% against 45.2% (-1.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 5:30 PM | 49.9% | 47.4% | 2.5 |
| Oct 27, 6:50 PM | 44.1% | 47.6% | -3.5 |
| Oct 27, 9:30 PM | 44.1% | 45.5% | -1.4 |
| Oct 27, 9:40 PM | 44.2% | 46.1% | -1.9 |
| Oct 27, 10:00 PM | 43.7% | 46.1% | -2.4 |
| Oct 28, 4:50 AM | 43.1% | 45.5% | -2.4 |
| Oct 28, 5:00 AM | 44.1% | 47.8% | -3.7 |
| Oct 28, 8:30 AM | 43.7% | 48.1% | -4.4 |
| Oct 28, 1:20 PM | 43.1% | 47.0% | -3.9 |
| Oct 28, 1:30 PM | 44.1% | 48.1% | -4 |
| Oct 28, 3:10 PM | 43.3% | 45.0% | -1.7 |
| Oct 28, 11:20 PM | 44.3% | 45.6% | -1.3 |
| Oct 29, 1:20 AM | 43.3% | 45.7% | -2.4 |
| Oct 29, 2:20 PM | 44.2% | 46.1% | -1.9 |
| Oct 29, 3:50 PM | 45.4% | 45.5% | -0.1 |
| Oct 29, 7:00 PM | 42.4% | 45.0% | -2.6 |
| Oct 29, 7:20 PM | 42.7% | 49.0% | -6.3 |
| Oct 29, 7:30 PM | 49.5% | 45.0% | 4.5 |
| Oct 29, 8:00 PM | 42.1% | 45.3% | -3.2 |
| Oct 29, 8:10 PM | 48.5% | 44.0% | 4.5 |
| Oct 29, 8:20 PM | 42.4% | 45.3% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 43.0% | 45.0% | -2 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 43.3% | 45.5% | -2.2 |
| Oct 30, 11:00 PM | 49.4% | 45.5% | 3.9 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 AM | 43.7% | 45.4% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 10:40 AM | 44.1% | 45.2% | -1.1 |
| Oct 31, 10:50 AM | 42.9% | 45.5% | -2.6 |
| Oct 31, 2:40 PM | 49.5% | 45.3% | 4.2 |
| Oct 31, 4:40 PM | 43.3% | 44.1% | -0.8 |
| Oct 31, 8:40 PM | 48.6% | 45.0% | 3.6 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 43.9% | 45.0% | -1.1 |
| Oct 31, 6:12 PM | 43.9% | 45.2% | -1.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing colston loveland receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 1h ago | ||
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4.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 5h ago | |
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4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 10h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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