Gunnar Helm — Receptions
Projection 2.6
+0.35pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
-11553.5%53¢
against
Bet99's
+10050%50¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)
Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Gunnar Helm Receptions 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 41.1% against 44.4% (an edge of -3.3 points) and is now 51.2% against 55.0% (-3.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 4:20 PM | 41.1% | 44.4% | -3.3 |
| Oct 28, 4:30 PM | 41.6% | 44.8% | -3.2 |
| Oct 28, 5:10 PM | 41.7% | 47.8% | -6.1 |
| Oct 28, 5:20 PM | 41.6% | 45.7% | -4.1 |
| Oct 28, 5:30 PM | 41.9% | 45.7% | -3.8 |
| Oct 28, 6:20 PM | 39.5% | 46.1% | -6.6 |
| Oct 28, 7:00 PM | 40.4% | 45.2% | -4.8 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 43.3% | 46.9% | -3.6 |
| Oct 28, 11:50 PM | 42.3% | 45.5% | -3.2 |
| Oct 29, 12:00 AM | 43.1% | 45.0% | -1.9 |
| Oct 29, 12:10 AM | 42.5% | 46.5% | -4 |
| Oct 29, 7:00 AM | 42.5% | 45.1% | -2.6 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 AM | 42.5% | 42.0% | 0.5 |
| Oct 29, 1:40 PM | 41.5% | 43.8% | -2.3 |
| Oct 29, 2:20 PM | 42.0% | 43.8% | -1.8 |
| Oct 29, 2:30 PM | 42.0% | 46.1% | -4.1 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 42.0% | 45.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 29, 4:20 PM | 42.5% | 46.1% | -3.6 |
| Oct 29, 5:00 PM | 44.0% | 46.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 29, 5:10 PM | 44.1% | 46.9% | -2.8 |
| Oct 29, 5:20 PM | 44.8% | 45.5% | -0.7 |
| Oct 29, 5:30 PM | 44.6% | 44.9% | -0.3 |
| Oct 29, 8:30 PM | 47.4% | 44.5% | 2.9 |
| Oct 29, 8:40 PM | 44.8% | 44.1% | 0.7 |
| Oct 29, 8:50 PM | 44.4% | 45.5% | -1.1 |
| Oct 30, 12:20 AM | 44.8% | 45.5% | -0.7 |
| Oct 30, 2:00 AM | 46.4% | 44.1% | 2.3 |
| Oct 30, 3:00 AM | 45.7% | 44.1% | 1.6 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 AM | 45.8% | 43.5% | 2.3 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 45.4% | 44.4% | 1 |
| Oct 30, 8:30 AM | 43.7% | 42.9% | 0.8 |
| Oct 30, 10:00 AM | 43.6% | 43.7% | -0.1 |
| Oct 30, 10:20 AM | 44.2% | 44.4% | -0.2 |
| Oct 30, 11:10 AM | 44.6% | 46.7% | -2.1 |
| Oct 30, 11:30 AM | 47.7% | 44.1% | 3.6 |
| Oct 30, 1:00 PM | 45.0% | 40.0% | 5 |
| Oct 30, 1:20 PM | 39.3% | 40.0% | -0.7 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 42.8% | 41.0% | 1.8 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 43.7% | 42.9% | 0.8 |
| Oct 30, 1:50 PM | 43.7% | 41.5% | 2.2 |
| Oct 30, 2:00 PM | 43.3% | 42.1% | 1.2 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 48.0% | 41.8% | 6.2 |
| Oct 30, 3:00 PM | 44.4% | 40.0% | 4.4 |
| Oct 30, 3:20 PM | 41.4% | 40.0% | 1.4 |
| Oct 30, 3:40 PM | 43.5% | 41.5% | 2 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 PM | 47.3% | 46.9% | 0.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 50.0% | 50.8% | -0.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 50.0% | 51.4% | -1.4 |
| Oct 30, 5:00 PM | 48.2% | 51.0% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 5:10 PM | 47.5% | 50.5% | -3 |
| Oct 30, 5:20 PM | 50.0% | 50.3% | -0.3 |
| Oct 30, 7:10 PM | 52.0% | 51.3% | 0.7 |
| Oct 30, 7:20 PM | 51.0% | 53.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 30, 8:20 PM | 52.4% | 54.3% | -1.9 |
| Oct 30, 8:30 PM | 48.1% | 52.8% | -4.7 |
| Oct 30, 8:50 PM | 47.5% | 53.1% | -5.6 |
| Oct 31, 12:00 AM | 45.5% | 53.5% | -8 |
| Oct 31, 12:10 AM | 51.8% | 58.0% | -6.2 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 52.0% | 56.3% | -4.3 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 AM | 54.5% | 55.8% | -1.3 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 AM | 52.4% | 53.9% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 2:00 AM | 53.5% | 53.9% | -0.4 |
| Oct 31, 7:50 AM | 54.2% | 53.3% | 0.9 |
| Oct 31, 11:00 AM | 54.0% | 54.5% | -0.5 |
| Oct 31, 2:10 PM | 52.2% | 57.3% | -5.1 |
| Oct 31, 3:00 PM | 52.0% | 56.9% | -4.9 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 PM | 46.4% | 56.5% | -10.1 |
| Oct 31, 12:18 PM | 51.2% | 55.0% | -3.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing gunnar helm receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 45m ago | ||
 BetRivers
|
2.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 17m ago | |
 Bovada
|
2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 21h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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