Isaac Teslaa — Receptions
Projection 1.4
+0.65pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+80911%11¢
against
Rebet's
+10079%9¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Isaac Teslaa Receptions 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.5% against 50.0% (an edge of -0.5 points) and is now 48.6% against 49.4% (-0.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 8:20 PM | 49.5% | 50.0% | -0.5 |
| Oct 29, 9:00 PM | 49.0% | 51.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 29, 9:10 PM | 49.0% | 51.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 29, 9:20 PM | 48.6% | 51.0% | -2.4 |
| Oct 29, 9:30 PM | 50.0% | 49.9% | 0.1 |
| Oct 29, 11:50 PM | 49.5% | 50.0% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 12:00 AM | 48.6% | 49.0% | -0.4 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 AM | 49.1% | 52.4% | -3.3 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 49.1% | 50.0% | -0.9 |
| Oct 30, 6:00 AM | 49.0% | 51.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 30, 6:50 AM | 46.5% | 49.8% | -3.3 |
| Oct 30, 7:00 AM | 48.5% | 51.0% | -2.5 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 AM | 49.0% | 51.0% | -2 |
| Oct 30, 12:50 PM | 47.7% | 50.0% | -2.3 |
| Oct 30, 1:00 PM | 47.8% | 50.5% | -2.7 |
| Oct 30, 1:20 PM | 48.2% | 51.9% | -3.7 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 48.4% | 50.5% | -2.1 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 49.0% | 50.3% | -1.3 |
| Oct 30, 1:50 PM | 50.0% | 50.8% | -0.8 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 47.7% | 50.3% | -2.6 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 50.0% | 49.8% | 0.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 49.0% | 49.0% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 49.0% | 49.2% | -0.2 |
| Oct 30, 8:50 PM | 48.0% | 51.0% | -3 |
| Oct 30, 9:30 PM | 47.8% | 51.0% | -3.2 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 AM | 46.5% | 49.0% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 PM | 49.2% | 49.5% | -0.3 |
| Oct 31, 12:30 PM | 48.6% | 49.4% | -0.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing isaac teslaa receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 10h ago | ||
 BetRivers
|
1.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 4m ago | |
 Bovada
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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