Projection 65.6
+0.6pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+42619%19¢
against
Rebet's
+61913.9%14¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (65.5)
Teal bars cleared 65.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Bhayshul Tuten Rushing Yards 65.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.0% against 53.6% (an edge of -5.6 points) and is now 50.0% against 53.0% (-3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 1:30 AM | 48.0% | 53.6% | -5.6 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 AM | 50.0% | 53.3% | -3.3 |
| Oct 31, 4:20 AM | 52.9% | 52.5% | 0.4 |
| Oct 31, 5:20 AM | 49.5% | 52.6% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 5:30 AM | 54.3% | 53.1% | 1.2 |
| Oct 31, 8:10 AM | 50.0% | 52.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 31, 10:40 AM | 50.0% | 53.0% | -3 |
| Oct 31, 10:50 AM | 49.0% | 53.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 31, 11:00 AM | 53.6% | 52.6% | 1 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 PM | 50.5% | 52.4% | -1.9 |
| Oct 31, 2:00 PM | 49.8% | 52.2% | -2.4 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 PM | 53.4% | 53.1% | 0.3 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 50.5% | 52.6% | -2.1 |
| Oct 31, 7:36 PM | 50.0% | 53.0% | -3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing bhayshul tuten rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 65.5 | Bet99 does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 2d ago | |
|
|
65.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 5h ago | ||
|
|
65.5 | Bovada does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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