Projection 1.9
+0.08pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
-15060%60¢
against
Stoiximan's
-16762.5%63¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 8 of 10 (80%).
Quinshon Judkins Receptions 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 59.1% against 65.8% (an edge of -6.7 points) and is now 59.6% against 60.9% (-1.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 9:10 PM | 59.1% | 65.8% | -6.7 |
| Oct 29, 9:20 PM | 59.9% | 64.3% | -4.4 |
| Oct 29, 9:50 PM | 59.4% | 62.1% | -2.7 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 PM | 59.7% | 62.1% | -2.4 |
| Oct 29, 10:10 PM | 58.8% | 61.8% | -3 |
| Oct 30, 12:20 AM | 59.4% | 61.2% | -1.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 60.5% | 62.9% | -2.4 |
| Oct 30, 6:00 AM | 61.3% | 62.1% | -0.8 |
| Oct 30, 6:20 AM | 59.7% | 61.8% | -2.1 |
| Oct 30, 6:50 AM | 60.8% | 60.9% | -0.1 |
| Oct 30, 8:40 AM | 61.4% | 63.5% | -2.1 |
| Oct 30, 8:50 AM | 59.8% | 64.0% | -4.2 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 AM | 61.1% | 69.7% | -8.6 |
| Oct 30, 12:50 PM | 60.1% | 62.7% | -2.6 |
| Oct 30, 1:00 PM | 61.7% | 63.2% | -1.5 |
| Oct 30, 1:20 PM | 61.0% | 61.7% | -0.7 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 58.6% | 62.0% | -3.4 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 60.0% | 63.8% | -3.8 |
| Oct 30, 2:10 PM | 59.6% | 65.5% | -5.9 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 60.2% | 63.0% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 59.7% | 62.1% | -2.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 60.1% | 62.1% | -2 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 PM | 60.4% | 62.1% | -1.7 |
| Oct 30, 4:30 PM | 60.7% | 61.5% | -0.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 59.9% | 60.9% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 60.2% | 63.5% | -3.3 |
| Oct 30, 7:20 PM | 58.6% | 61.8% | -3.2 |
| Oct 30, 9:20 PM | 59.7% | 60.9% | -1.2 |
| Oct 30, 9:30 PM | 59.6% | 61.2% | -1.6 |
| Oct 30, 9:40 PM | 59.2% | 61.9% | -2.7 |
| Oct 30, 10:10 PM | 59.4% | 60.9% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 12:00 AM | 58.7% | 60.0% | -1.3 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 60.4% | 60.0% | 0.4 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 AM | 60.1% | 60.9% | -0.8 |
| Oct 31, 6:00 AM | 60.3% | 60.0% | 0.3 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 PM | 58.6% | 60.0% | -1.4 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 PM | 58.6% | 60.5% | -1.9 |
| Oct 31, 2:10 PM | 58.3% | 60.9% | -2.6 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 PM | 59.7% | 61.8% | -2.1 |
| Oct 31, 4:20 PM | 60.5% | 63.2% | -2.7 |
| Oct 31, 12:35 PM | 59.6% | 60.9% | -1.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing quinshon judkins receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 10h ago | ||
|
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 19h ago | ||
| Courtside | 1.5 | Courtside does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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