Projection 1.2
+0.12pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+15040%40¢
against
Courtside's
+15439.4%39¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Omarion Hampton Receptions 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 40.4% against 41.7% (an edge of -1.3 points) and is now 38.1% against 40.3% (-2.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2:50 PM | 40.4% | 41.7% | -1.3 |
| Oct 29, 6:20 PM | 41.5% | 41.7% | -0.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 41.2% | 41.7% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 5:20 AM | 40.3% | 41.7% | -1.4 |
| Oct 30, 6:00 AM | 41.9% | 41.7% | 0.2 |
| Oct 30, 7:50 AM | 39.2% | 40.7% | -1.5 |
| Oct 30, 8:00 AM | 38.9% | 41.0% | -2.1 |
| Oct 30, 11:10 AM | 40.6% | 41.2% | -0.6 |
| Oct 30, 11:20 AM | 40.6% | 40.5% | 0.1 |
| Oct 30, 12:10 PM | 38.7% | 41.0% | -2.3 |
| Oct 30, 12:50 PM | 39.6% | 40.8% | -1.2 |
| Oct 30, 1:00 PM | 38.8% | 41.0% | -2.2 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 41.4% | 41.5% | -0.1 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 40.1% | 41.9% | -1.8 |
| Oct 30, 1:50 PM | 41.5% | 42.3% | -0.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 39.0% | 40.4% | -1.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 40.5% | 41.7% | -1.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 39.6% | 40.7% | -1.1 |
| Oct 30, 10:20 PM | 37.7% | 40.0% | -2.3 |
| Oct 30, 10:30 PM | 38.6% | 40.0% | -1.4 |
| Oct 30, 11:30 PM | 37.1% | 40.0% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 PM | 38.4% | 40.0% | -1.6 |
| Oct 31, 2:29 PM | 38.1% | 40.3% | -2.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing omarion hampton receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 22m ago | ||
|
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago | ||
| Courtside | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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