Projection 27.9
+0.33pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+37621%21¢
against
Rebet's
+61114.1%14¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (27.5)
Teal bars cleared 27.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Ashton Jeanty Receiving Yards 27.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 55.0% (an edge of -5 points) and is now 50.4% against 53.3% (-2.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 50.0% | 55.0% | -5 |
| Oct 28, 11:40 PM | 50.8% | 54.9% | -4.1 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 50.5% | 53.5% | -3 |
| Oct 29, 6:40 AM | 49.6% | 53.4% | -3.8 |
| Oct 29, 6:50 AM | 50.0% | 53.4% | -3.4 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 AM | 50.0% | 53.2% | -3.2 |
| Oct 30, 12:10 PM | 50.7% | 53.3% | -2.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 AM | 50.5% | 53.1% | -2.6 |
| Oct 31, 10:10 AM | 50.8% | 53.7% | -2.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 PM | 50.4% | 53.5% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 4:48 PM | 50.4% | 53.3% | -2.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing ashton jeanty receiving yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
27.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1h ago | ||
| Courtside | 27.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 10h ago | ||
|
|
27.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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