Projection 5.3
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (4.5)
Teal bars cleared 4.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Sione Vaki Rushing Yards 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.8% against 54.7% (an edge of -4.9 points) and is now 50.8% against 53.3% (-2.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 9:00 PM | 49.8% | 54.7% | -4.9 |
| Oct 29, 10:10 PM | 50.0% | 54.8% | -4.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 50.8% | 52.2% | -1.4 |
| Oct 30, 8:30 AM | 51.0% | 52.1% | -1.1 |
| Oct 30, 11:30 AM | 49.5% | 51.0% | -1.5 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 AM | 49.9% | 54.5% | -4.6 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 AM | 50.0% | 54.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 50.5% | 54.3% | -3.8 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 50.8% | 52.8% | -2 |
| Oct 30, 3:30 PM | 50.1% | 53.2% | -3.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 51.0% | 51.9% | -0.9 |
| Oct 30, 8:50 PM | 48.8% | 52.6% | -3.8 |
| Oct 30, 9:20 PM | 48.2% | 53.2% | -5 |
| Oct 30, 9:30 PM | 50.1% | 51.9% | -1.8 |
| Oct 30, 9:50 PM | 49.3% | 51.9% | -2.6 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 PM | 48.8% | 51.9% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 49.8% | 51.9% | -2.1 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 AM | 50.4% | 54.8% | -4.4 |
| Oct 31, 8:40 AM | 52.0% | 54.3% | -2.3 |
| Oct 31, 11:00 AM | 51.5% | 54.1% | -2.6 |
| Oct 31, 6:20 PM | 50.4% | 53.5% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 9:30 PM | 50.5% | 53.5% | -3 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 50.3% | 52.6% | -2.3 |
| Oct 31, 10:20 PM | 50.7% | 51.9% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 10:50 PM | 50.4% | 53.4% | -3 |
| Nov 1, 1:20 AM | 50.7% | 53.5% | -2.8 |
| Nov 1, 2:20 AM | 50.5% | 53.5% | -3 |
| Nov 1, 2:30 AM | 51.0% | 53.9% | -2.9 |
| Nov 1, 3:40 AM | 50.8% | 54.5% | -3.7 |
| Nov 1, 8:20 AM | 48.6% | 52.6% | -4 |
| Nov 1, 8:40 AM | 52.9% | 53.9% | -1 |
| Nov 1, 1:10 PM | 51.3% | 53.3% | -2 |
| Nov 1, 9:11 AM | 50.8% | 53.3% | -2.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing sione vaki rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 5h ago | ||
|
|
4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 11h ago | ||
| Courtside | 4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 11h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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