Projection 236.8
+0.77pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+80911%11¢
against
Rebet's
+13357%7¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (239.5)
Teal bars cleared 239.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Drake Maye Passing Yards 239.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.8% against 51.7% (an edge of -1.9 points) and is now 49.7% against 49.3% (0.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 5:30 PM | 49.8% | 51.7% | -1.9 |
| Oct 31, 9:20 PM | 50.0% | 51.2% | -1.2 |
| Nov 1, 12:59 PM | 49.7% | 49.3% | 0.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing drake maye passing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dst Propbuilder | 239.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Dst Propbuilder last repriced this 4h ago | ||
|
|
239.5 | FanDuel does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 20h ago | |
|
|
239.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Pinnacle last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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