Drake Maye — Passing Touchdowns
Projection 1.8
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Drake Maye Passing Touchdowns 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 55.4% against 59.5% (an edge of -4.1 points) and is now 53.6% against 56.0% (-2.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 12:10 AM | 55.4% | 59.5% | -4.1 |
| Oct 28, 12:20 AM | 53.2% | 61.5% | -8.3 |
| Oct 28, 12:50 AM | 54.2% | 60.0% | -5.8 |
| Oct 28, 4:00 AM | 56.0% | 59.7% | -3.7 |
| Oct 28, 5:40 AM | 54.9% | 58.9% | -4 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 AM | 55.9% | 57.1% | -1.2 |
| Oct 28, 10:40 AM | 56.3% | 59.0% | -2.7 |
| Oct 28, 12:30 PM | 55.4% | 58.3% | -2.9 |
| Oct 28, 2:30 PM | 54.3% | 58.0% | -3.7 |
| Oct 28, 4:00 PM | 56.3% | 57.1% | -0.8 |
| Oct 28, 5:00 PM | 54.1% | 55.9% | -1.8 |
| Oct 28, 5:50 PM | 53.3% | 57.1% | -3.8 |
| Oct 28, 6:10 PM | 53.7% | 58.0% | -4.3 |
| Oct 28, 6:20 PM | 53.2% | 58.0% | -4.8 |
| Oct 28, 6:40 PM | 52.9% | 58.0% | -5.1 |
| Oct 28, 6:50 PM | 55.5% | 57.1% | -1.6 |
| Oct 29, 2:20 AM | 56.2% | 58.3% | -2.1 |
| Oct 29, 2:40 AM | 55.2% | 58.7% | -3.5 |
| Oct 29, 4:30 AM | 55.9% | 59.4% | -3.5 |
| Oct 29, 7:00 AM | 54.9% | 58.0% | -3.1 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 AM | 55.1% | 58.0% | -2.9 |
| Oct 29, 1:40 PM | 54.5% | 58.0% | -3.5 |
| Oct 29, 2:40 PM | 54.6% | 57.2% | -2.6 |
| Oct 29, 3:20 PM | 57.5% | 57.4% | 0.1 |
| Oct 29, 3:30 PM | 56.7% | 57.3% | -0.6 |
| Oct 29, 4:40 PM | 54.8% | 58.0% | -3.2 |
| Oct 29, 5:50 PM | 54.3% | 59.0% | -4.7 |
| Oct 29, 7:10 PM | 53.6% | 58.0% | -4.4 |
| Oct 29, 7:20 PM | 53.1% | 58.0% | -4.9 |
| Oct 29, 7:30 PM | 54.7% | 57.1% | -2.4 |
| Oct 29, 7:40 PM | 54.8% | 57.1% | -2.3 |
| Oct 29, 7:50 PM | 54.9% | 58.7% | -3.8 |
| Oct 29, 8:00 PM | 54.6% | 59.4% | -4.8 |
| Oct 29, 8:20 PM | 55.8% | 57.3% | -1.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 56.7% | 55.9% | 0.8 |
| Oct 30, 6:00 AM | 57.3% | 57.1% | 0.2 |
| Oct 30, 11:10 AM | 53.1% | 58.2% | -5.1 |
| Oct 30, 11:30 AM | 56.7% | 58.0% | -1.3 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 54.9% | 56.6% | -1.7 |
| Oct 30, 2:30 PM | 54.3% | 57.1% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 54.2% | 56.5% | -2.3 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 PM | 54.8% | 57.1% | -2.3 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 PM | 54.4% | 55.9% | -1.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:30 PM | 53.2% | 57.1% | -3.9 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 53.9% | 57.6% | -3.7 |
| Oct 30, 5:10 PM | 55.9% | 58.0% | -2.1 |
| Oct 30, 5:30 PM | 55.8% | 55.9% | -0.1 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 PM | 56.5% | 57.6% | -1.1 |
| Oct 31, 10:10 AM | 53.5% | 56.2% | -2.7 |
| Oct 31, 5:00 PM | 51.9% | 56.1% | -4.2 |
| Oct 31, 1:18 PM | 53.6% | 56.0% | -2.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing drake maye passing touchdowns are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 11h ago | ||
 DraftKings
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 9m ago | ||
| Dst Propbuilder | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Dst Propbuilder last repriced this 4h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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